Recent conversations on the recent slowdown in warming has inspired an animation on how models simulate this phenomenon, and what it means for the evolution of global temperatures over the next few decades.
UPDATE (18/01/13): A shorter version of the animation here.
Explanation: The animation shows observations and two simulations with a climate model which only vary in their particular realisation of the weather, i.e. chaotic variability. A previous post has described how different realisations can produce very different outcomes for regional climates. However, the animation shows how global temperatures can evolve differently over the course of a century. For example, the blue simulation matches the observed trend over the most recent decade but warms more than the red simulation up to 2050. This demonstrates that a slowdown in warming is not inconsistent with future projections.
Technical details: Both simulations are using CSIRO Mk3.6, using the RCP6.0 scenario.