Monthly Archives: August 2011

Uncertainty in uncertainty

Posted on August 24, 2011 by Ed Hawkins

There has been much discussion recently on whether GCMs participating in intercomparisons, such as CMIP3 and CMIP5, are ‘independent’. But if they are not, how does this make a difference to the uncertainty in our projections for future climate?

Posted in GCMs, projections, temperature, uncertainty | 3 Comments

Trends in Central England Temperature

Posted on August 10, 2011 by Ed Hawkins

Previous posts have discussed climate variability in general, and modelled decadal trends in temperature specifically. However, I should have considered decadal trends in observations as well, especially as there is a long temperature record available for the UK.

Posted in GCMs, temperature, variability | 5 Comments